VERIFICATION

ECMWF did an excellent job with the track of this storm. It showed hints of this storm eight days before it happened! I based my forecast on this model and did not waiver when the other models flip-flopped.

Within 48 hours, NAM generally did a good job with snow accumulations, though it was too ambitious with snow-to-liquid ratios (as expected). In addition, it was too far north in the early runs (as expected). RPM also did well within 36 hours. GFS was the worst.

I have to admit, there was definitely some luck mixed in with skill while making this forecast. I'm glad it panned out!

Here are the snow totals: